Verification parameters of HMC/MGO forecasts for SOUTH HEMISPHERE OUTTROPIC (0 - 357.5, -90 - -20) issued on 20221110
TRSF
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.52 | 0.70 | 2.19 | 0.37 | 0.62 | 1.48 | 0.74 | 0.62 | 0.76 | 0.71 |
week1_MGO | 0.51 | 0.71 | 1.85 | 0.46 | 0.69 | 1.36 | 0.81 | 0.63 | 0.83 | 0.75 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.20 | 1.23 | 3.28 | -0.23 | 0.10 | 1.81 | 0.62 | 0.55 | 0.63 | 0.60 |
week2_MGO | 0.31 | 1.11 | 2.38 | 0.11 | 0.47 | 1.54 | 0.70 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.66 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | 0.15 | 1.05 | 3.07 | -0.21 | 0.05 | 1.75 | 0.67 | 0.52 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
week3_MGO | 0.25 | 1.07 | 2.29 | 0.10 | 0.32 | 1.51 | 0.65 | 0.51 | 0.67 | 0.61 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | 0.08 | 1.34 | 2.13 | -0.05 | 0.19 | 1.46 | 0.57 | 0.49 | 0.58 | 0.55 |
week4_MGO | 0.21 | 1.45 | 2.23 | -0.10 | 0.12 | 1.49 | 0.61 | 0.50 | 0.61 | 0.57 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | 0.33 | 1.03 | 1.07 | -0.03 | 0.36 | 1.03 | 0.68 | 0.55 | 0.67 | 0.63 |
month1_MGO | 0.39 | 1.13 | 0.91 | 0.12 | 0.46 | 0.95 | 0.73 | 0.52 | 0.73 | 0.66 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | 0.25 | 0.87 | 0.84 | 0.07 | 0.35 | 0.91 | 0.64 | 0.53 | 0.66 | 0.61 |
month2_MGO | 0.36 | 0.92 | 0.74 | 0.17 | 0.46 | 0.86 | 0.71 | 0.54 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
month2_H&M |
T850
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.65 | 0.50 | 1.93 | 0.64 | 0.82 | 1.39 | 0.80 | 0.62 | 0.83 | 0.75 |
week1_MGO | 0.64 | 0.53 | 1.99 | 0.63 | 0.79 | 1.41 | 0.87 | 0.66 | 0.87 | 0.80 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.32 | 1.43 | 5.49 | 0.13 | 0.40 | 2.34 | 0.65 | 0.52 | 0.69 | 0.62 |
week2_MGO | 0.36 | 1.22 | 4.25 | 0.33 | 0.58 | 2.06 | 0.76 | 0.59 | 0.75 | 0.70 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | 0.07 | 1.45 | 6.08 | -0.23 | 0.02 | 2.47 | 0.60 | 0.48 | 0.55 | 0.54 |
week3_MGO | 0.19 | 1.15 | 4.46 | 0.10 | 0.26 | 2.11 | 0.63 | 0.54 | 0.59 | 0.59 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | -0.05 | 1.77 | 5.43 | -0.19 | -0.10 | 2.33 | 0.58 | 0.49 | 0.46 | 0.51 |
week4_MGO | 0.15 | 1.55 | 4.72 | -0.03 | 0.08 | 2.17 | 0.55 | 0.54 | 0.57 | 0.56 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | 0.42 | 1.38 | 1.91 | 0.19 | 0.49 | 1.38 | 0.78 | 0.57 | 0.77 | 0.70 |
month1_MGO | 0.47 | 1.17 | 1.55 | 0.34 | 0.57 | 1.24 | 0.81 | 0.57 | 0.79 | 0.72 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | 0.19 | 1.09 | 1.40 | 0.09 | 0.28 | 1.19 | 0.65 | 0.52 | 0.63 | 0.60 |
month2_MGO | 0.47 | 0.90 | 1.15 | 0.25 | 0.42 | 1.07 | 0.74 | 0.50 | 0.70 | 0.65 |
month2_H&M |
H500
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.68 | 0.36 | 11.10 | 0.86 | 0.93 | 3.33 | 0.85 | 0.68 | 0.86 | 0.80 |
week1_MGO | 0.70 | 0.31 | 12.85 | 0.83 | 0.92 | 3.58 | 0.94 | 0.78 | 0.91 | 0.88 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.35 | 1.14 | 49.52 | 0.25 | 0.50 | 7.04 | 0.60 | 0.54 | 0.72 | 0.62 |
week2_MGO | 0.37 | 1.14 | 51.20 | 0.23 | 0.50 | 7.16 | 0.71 | 0.53 | 0.76 | 0.67 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | 0.12 | 1.44 | 48.06 | -0.07 | 0.27 | 6.93 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.56 | 0.55 |
week3_MGO | 0.31 | 1.10 | 39.59 | 0.12 | 0.38 | 6.29 | 0.69 | 0.51 | 0.70 | 0.63 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | -0.06 | 1.59 | 60.96 | -0.45 | -0.24 | 7.81 | 0.49 | 0.54 | 0.43 | 0.49 |
week4_MGO | 0.13 | 1.15 | 42.07 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 6.49 | 0.56 | 0.57 | 0.65 | 0.59 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | 0.40 | 0.99 | 14.59 | 0.34 | 0.60 | 3.82 | 0.72 | 0.49 | 0.73 | 0.65 |
month1_MGO | 0.49 | 0.76 | 13.25 | 0.40 | 0.65 | 3.64 | 0.83 | 0.63 | 0.82 | 0.76 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | 0.27 | 0.77 | 9.01 | 0.10 | 0.45 | 3.00 | 0.66 | 0.47 | 0.62 | 0.58 |
month2_MGO | 0.43 | 0.48 | 5.86 | 0.41 | 0.66 | 2.42 | 0.76 | 0.55 | 0.76 | 0.69 |
month2_H&M |
MSLP
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.61 | 0.50 | 9.58 | 0.77 | 0.88 | 3.10 | 0.74 | 0.62 | 0.85 | 0.74 |
week1_MGO | 0.72 | 0.32 | 8.85 | 0.78 | 0.89 | 2.98 | 0.90 | 0.70 | 0.90 | 0.84 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.29 | 1.06 | 30.11 | 0.14 | 0.43 | 5.49 | 0.60 | 0.51 | 0.65 | 0.59 |
week2_MGO | 0.26 | 1.00 | 33.08 | 0.06 | 0.43 | 5.75 | 0.65 | 0.52 | 0.68 | 0.62 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | 0.04 | 1.48 | 36.33 | 0.13 | 0.45 | 6.03 | 0.57 | 0.58 | 0.55 | 0.57 |
week3_MGO | 0.19 | 1.32 | 27.96 | 0.33 | 0.56 | 5.29 | 0.64 | 0.57 | 0.66 | 0.62 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | -0.06 | 1.40 | 35.67 | -0.25 | 0.03 | 5.97 | 0.54 | 0.55 | 0.52 | 0.54 |
week4_MGO | 0.27 | 0.94 | 22.63 | 0.21 | 0.41 | 4.76 | 0.65 | 0.50 | 0.65 | 0.60 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | 0.33 | 1.05 | 8.76 | 0.41 | 0.68 | 2.96 | 0.73 | 0.47 | 0.79 | 0.67 |
month1_MGO | 0.42 | 0.97 | 7.42 | 0.50 | 0.71 | 2.72 | 0.78 | 0.64 | 0.80 | 0.74 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | 0.31 | 1.01 | 6.29 | 0.43 | 0.72 | 2.51 | 0.69 | 0.57 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
month2_MGO | 0.42 | 0.86 | 3.96 | 0.64 | 0.78 | 1.99 | 0.68 | 0.52 | 0.75 | 0.65 |
month2_H&M |
PREC
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.37 | 1.97 | 7.50 | 0.19 | 0.43 | 2.74 | 0.67 | 0.56 | 0.70 | 0.64 |
week1_MGO | 0.37 | 1.75 | 6.94 | 0.25 | 0.49 | 2.63 | 0.73 | 0.55 | 0.74 | 0.67 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.16 | 2.50 | 5.80 | -0.04 | 0.19 | 2.41 | 0.52 | 0.50 | 0.57 | 0.53 |
week2_MGO | 0.13 | 2.21 | 5.89 | -0.06 | 0.14 | 2.43 | 0.55 | 0.49 | 0.57 | 0.54 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | -0.01 | 1.74 | 8.95 | -0.17 | -0.02 | 2.99 | 0.49 | 0.50 | 0.51 | 0.50 |
week3_MGO | 0.14 | 1.74 | 7.62 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 2.76 | 0.58 | 0.49 | 0.59 | 0.55 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | 0.04 | 1.70 | 7.79 | -0.13 | 0.07 | 2.79 | 0.51 | 0.50 | 0.51 | 0.51 |
week4_MGO | 0.03 | 1.59 | 7.86 | -0.14 | 0.06 | 2.80 | 0.54 | 0.50 | 0.52 | 0.52 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | 0.20 | 1.49 | 2.25 | -0.04 | 0.20 | 1.50 | 0.61 | 0.52 | 0.63 | 0.59 |
month1_MGO | 0.24 | 1.44 | 2.06 | 0.05 | 0.29 | 1.43 | 0.65 | 0.50 | 0.63 | 0.59 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | 0.03 | 1.33 | 2.20 | -0.17 | 0.08 | 1.48 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.53 | 0.51 |
month2_MGO | 0.18 | 1.26 | 2.22 | -0.18 | 0.19 | 1.49 | 0.61 | 0.51 | 0.60 | 0.57 |
month2_H&M |