Verification parameters of HMC/MGO forecasts for GLOBUS (0 - 357.5, -90 - 90) issued on 20221110
TRSF
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.48 | 0.76 | 3.22 | 0.40 | 0.64 | 1.79 | 0.74 | 0.62 | 0.75 | 0.71 |
week1_MGO | 0.55 | 0.69 | 2.41 | 0.55 | 0.74 | 1.55 | 0.80 | 0.61 | 0.80 | 0.74 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.24 | 1.21 | 6.71 | -0.25 | 0.09 | 2.59 | 0.65 | 0.55 | 0.64 | 0.61 |
week2_MGO | 0.36 | 1.04 | 5.25 | 0.02 | 0.31 | 2.29 | 0.74 | 0.56 | 0.72 | 0.68 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | 0.15 | 1.20 | 6.44 | -0.36 | -0.07 | 2.54 | 0.66 | 0.55 | 0.61 | 0.61 |
week3_MGO | 0.30 | 1.12 | 4.36 | 0.08 | 0.29 | 2.09 | 0.68 | 0.54 | 0.65 | 0.62 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | 0.12 | 1.38 | 7.34 | -0.15 | 0.02 | 2.71 | 0.60 | 0.51 | 0.59 | 0.57 |
week4_MGO | 0.29 | 1.28 | 5.75 | 0.10 | 0.27 | 2.40 | 0.65 | 0.54 | 0.62 | 0.61 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | 0.30 | 1.13 | 2.71 | -0.14 | 0.19 | 1.65 | 0.71 | 0.56 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
month1_MGO | 0.45 | 1.00 | 1.72 | 0.28 | 0.49 | 1.31 | 0.76 | 0.58 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | 0.18 | 1.19 | 3.31 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 1.82 | 0.66 | 0.53 | 0.64 | 0.61 |
month2_MGO | 0.44 | 1.01 | 1.79 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.34 | 0.73 | 0.54 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
month2_H&M |
T850
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.45 | 0.85 | 2.21 | 0.62 | 0.80 | 1.48 | 0.73 | 0.58 | 0.73 | 0.68 |
week1_MGO | 0.48 | 0.80 | 1.92 | 0.67 | 0.82 | 1.38 | 0.79 | 0.60 | 0.78 | 0.72 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.20 | 1.51 | 7.57 | -0.22 | 0.29 | 2.75 | 0.60 | 0.52 | 0.63 | 0.59 |
week2_MGO | 0.33 | 1.17 | 5.12 | 0.17 | 0.45 | 2.26 | 0.70 | 0.56 | 0.71 | 0.65 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | 0.03 | 1.64 | 7.58 | -0.20 | 0.05 | 2.75 | 0.54 | 0.48 | 0.53 | 0.52 |
week3_MGO | 0.27 | 1.43 | 5.59 | 0.11 | 0.30 | 2.36 | 0.64 | 0.52 | 0.59 | 0.58 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | -0.08 | 1.93 | 8.49 | -0.34 | -0.24 | 2.91 | 0.47 | 0.51 | 0.45 | 0.48 |
week4_MGO | 0.15 | 1.50 | 6.74 | -0.07 | 0.07 | 2.60 | 0.55 | 0.53 | 0.56 | 0.54 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | 0.21 | 1.51 | 2.19 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 1.48 | 0.64 | 0.48 | 0.63 | 0.58 |
month1_MGO | 0.41 | 1.23 | 1.59 | 0.34 | 0.55 | 1.26 | 0.71 | 0.55 | 0.72 | 0.66 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | 0.04 | 1.67 | 2.66 | -0.07 | 0.09 | 1.63 | 0.55 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.51 |
month2_MGO | 0.35 | 1.29 | 2.02 | 0.18 | 0.37 | 1.42 | 0.68 | 0.47 | 0.60 | 0.58 |
month2_H&M |
H500
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.55 | 0.69 | 11.39 | 0.77 | 0.88 | 3.37 | 0.82 | 0.61 | 0.75 | 0.73 |
week1_MGO | 0.70 | 0.40 | 9.20 | 0.81 | 0.91 | 3.03 | 0.94 | 0.72 | 0.86 | 0.84 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.38 | 1.12 | 45.89 | -0.02 | 0.39 | 6.77 | 0.62 | 0.58 | 0.71 | 0.64 |
week2_MGO | 0.43 | 0.89 | 29.91 | 0.33 | 0.57 | 5.47 | 0.74 | 0.56 | 0.75 | 0.69 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | -0.04 | 1.43 | 53.78 | -0.18 | 0.10 | 7.33 | 0.50 | 0.48 | 0.45 | 0.47 |
week3_MGO | 0.13 | 1.17 | 40.67 | 0.11 | 0.32 | 6.38 | 0.62 | 0.49 | 0.59 | 0.56 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | -0.26 | 2.44 | 82.55 | -0.29 | -0.22 | 9.09 | 0.38 | 0.51 | 0.31 | 0.40 |
week4_MGO | -0.04 | 1.85 | 59.83 | 0.07 | 0.26 | 7.74 | 0.50 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.51 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | 0.16 | 1.21 | 19.28 | 0.09 | 0.38 | 4.39 | 0.62 | 0.46 | 0.58 | 0.55 |
month1_MGO | 0.37 | 0.84 | 12.53 | 0.41 | 0.63 | 3.54 | 0.75 | 0.56 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | -0.07 | 1.55 | 23.17 | -0.04 | 0.14 | 4.81 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 0.43 | 0.46 |
month2_MGO | 0.10 | 1.21 | 16.00 | 0.28 | 0.52 | 4.00 | 0.56 | 0.48 | 0.59 | 0.55 |
month2_H&M |
MSLP
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.53 | 0.46 | 8.24 | 0.69 | 0.84 | 2.87 | 0.71 | 0.61 | 0.79 | 0.70 |
week1_MGO | 0.63 | 0.39 | 6.81 | 0.75 | 0.87 | 2.61 | 0.89 | 0.67 | 0.84 | 0.80 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.18 | 1.47 | 34.28 | -0.54 | 0.14 | 5.85 | 0.57 | 0.51 | 0.61 | 0.57 |
week2_MGO | 0.22 | 0.97 | 20.88 | 0.06 | 0.41 | 4.57 | 0.66 | 0.47 | 0.63 | 0.59 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | -0.08 | 1.84 | 37.68 | -0.17 | 0.18 | 6.14 | 0.48 | 0.56 | 0.53 | 0.52 |
week3_MGO | 0.01 | 1.61 | 29.99 | 0.07 | 0.32 | 5.48 | 0.54 | 0.57 | 0.60 | 0.57 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | -0.14 | 2.53 | 50.23 | -0.13 | 0.04 | 7.09 | 0.48 | 0.49 | 0.39 | 0.45 |
week4_MGO | 0.10 | 1.80 | 41.95 | 0.05 | 0.25 | 6.48 | 0.57 | 0.44 | 0.51 | 0.51 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | 0.07 | 1.69 | 11.83 | -0.05 | 0.34 | 3.44 | 0.57 | 0.49 | 0.60 | 0.55 |
month1_MGO | 0.25 | 1.24 | 8.49 | 0.25 | 0.52 | 2.91 | 0.68 | 0.56 | 0.69 | 0.64 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | -0.02 | 2.75 | 17.58 | 0.03 | 0.28 | 4.19 | 0.55 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.54 |
month2_MGO | 0.18 | 1.98 | 14.01 | 0.23 | 0.48 | 3.74 | 0.57 | 0.45 | 0.63 | 0.55 |
month2_H&M |
PREC
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.33 | 1.67 | 15.01 | 0.05 | 0.28 | 3.87 | 0.62 | 0.55 | 0.66 | 0.61 |
week1_MGO | 0.35 | 2.10 | 16.34 | -0.03 | 0.33 | 4.04 | 0.68 | 0.55 | 0.68 | 0.64 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.18 | 2.80 | 17.06 | -0.06 | 0.13 | 4.13 | 0.52 | 0.51 | 0.55 | 0.53 |
week2_MGO | 0.16 | 2.66 | 16.13 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 4.02 | 0.58 | 0.51 | 0.59 | 0.56 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | 0.08 | 1.83 | 16.35 | -0.07 | 0.07 | 4.04 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 0.54 | 0.52 |
week3_MGO | 0.11 | 1.76 | 14.72 | 0.04 | 0.29 | 3.84 | 0.57 | 0.50 | 0.59 | 0.55 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | 0.10 | 2.10 | 16.39 | -0.09 | 0.06 | 4.05 | 0.51 | 0.48 | 0.54 | 0.51 |
week4_MGO | 0.12 | 2.05 | 15.88 | -0.06 | 0.17 | 3.99 | 0.56 | 0.52 | 0.58 | 0.55 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | 0.19 | 1.51 | 5.98 | -0.03 | 0.16 | 2.45 | 0.60 | 0.51 | 0.61 | 0.57 |
month1_MGO | 0.20 | 1.54 | 5.55 | 0.04 | 0.35 | 2.36 | 0.64 | 0.53 | 0.62 | 0.59 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | 0.10 | 1.45 | 6.20 | -0.06 | 0.13 | 2.49 | 0.54 | 0.49 | 0.56 | 0.53 |
month2_MGO | 0.14 | 1.45 | 6.00 | -0.03 | 0.31 | 2.45 | 0.59 | 0.52 | 0.59 | 0.57 |
month2_H&M |