Verification parameters of HMC/MGO forecasts for NORTH HEMISPHERE OUTTROPIC (0 - 357.5, 20 - 90) issued on 20221110
TRSF
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.54 | 0.73 | 6.81 | 0.42 | 0.63 | 2.61 | 0.76 | 0.68 | 0.77 | 0.74 |
week1_MGO | 0.68 | 0.52 | 4.77 | 0.59 | 0.75 | 2.18 | 0.87 | 0.71 | 0.83 | 0.81 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.29 | 1.11 | 15.93 | -0.27 | 0.03 | 3.99 | 0.61 | 0.55 | 0.66 | 0.61 |
week2_MGO | 0.37 | 1.00 | 12.59 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 3.55 | 0.71 | 0.60 | 0.72 | 0.68 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | 0.03 | 1.36 | 14.99 | -0.43 | -0.18 | 3.87 | 0.44 | 0.56 | 0.53 | 0.51 |
week3_MGO | 0.28 | 1.18 | 9.87 | 0.06 | 0.22 | 3.14 | 0.60 | 0.53 | 0.56 | 0.56 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | 0.06 | 1.67 | 18.82 | -0.18 | -0.10 | 4.34 | 0.46 | 0.50 | 0.47 | 0.47 |
week4_MGO | 0.34 | 1.34 | 13.94 | 0.13 | 0.21 | 3.73 | 0.62 | 0.49 | 0.55 | 0.55 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | 0.27 | 1.31 | 6.55 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 2.56 | 0.57 | 0.54 | 0.62 | 0.58 |
month1_MGO | 0.51 | 0.94 | 3.78 | 0.31 | 0.39 | 1.94 | 0.69 | 0.59 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | 0.13 | 1.62 | 8.47 | -0.38 | -0.24 | 2.91 | 0.50 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.50 |
month2_MGO | 0.56 | 1.16 | 4.10 | 0.33 | 0.44 | 2.03 | 0.72 | 0.50 | 0.63 | 0.62 |
month2_H&M |
T850
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.55 | 0.53 | 3.75 | 0.65 | 0.81 | 1.94 | 0.76 | 0.64 | 0.78 | 0.73 |
week1_MGO | 0.66 | 0.40 | 2.77 | 0.74 | 0.86 | 1.67 | 0.88 | 0.69 | 0.85 | 0.81 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.30 | 1.30 | 15.66 | -0.41 | 0.28 | 3.96 | 0.69 | 0.56 | 0.68 | 0.64 |
week2_MGO | 0.36 | 0.97 | 10.01 | 0.10 | 0.37 | 3.16 | 0.74 | 0.58 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | -0.05 | 1.79 | 14.90 | -0.19 | 0.06 | 3.86 | 0.44 | 0.51 | 0.53 | 0.49 |
week3_MGO | 0.37 | 1.40 | 10.83 | 0.13 | 0.32 | 3.29 | 0.65 | 0.51 | 0.57 | 0.58 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | -0.15 | 1.96 | 18.47 | -0.40 | -0.30 | 4.30 | 0.35 | 0.53 | 0.39 | 0.42 |
week4_MGO | 0.13 | 1.38 | 14.02 | -0.06 | 0.05 | 3.74 | 0.54 | 0.53 | 0.55 | 0.54 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | 0.28 | 1.30 | 3.93 | 0.09 | 0.36 | 1.98 | 0.61 | 0.45 | 0.63 | 0.57 |
month1_MGO | 0.51 | 0.82 | 2.59 | 0.40 | 0.58 | 1.61 | 0.71 | 0.54 | 0.72 | 0.66 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | 0.10 | 1.77 | 5.70 | -0.08 | 0.03 | 2.39 | 0.53 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.51 |
month2_MGO | 0.44 | 1.18 | 4.16 | 0.21 | 0.39 | 2.04 | 0.72 | 0.47 | 0.62 | 0.60 |
month2_H&M |
H500
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.59 | 0.39 | 21.52 | 0.67 | 0.83 | 4.64 | 0.79 | 0.67 | 0.83 | 0.76 |
week1_MGO | 0.73 | 0.26 | 13.75 | 0.79 | 0.89 | 3.71 | 0.93 | 0.77 | 0.91 | 0.87 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.23 | 1.53 | 85.18 | -0.31 | 0.37 | 9.23 | 0.65 | 0.54 | 0.65 | 0.61 |
week2_MGO | 0.48 | 0.64 | 36.20 | 0.44 | 0.66 | 6.02 | 0.80 | 0.58 | 0.78 | 0.72 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | 0.05 | 1.42 | 109.04 | -0.23 | 0.01 | 10.44 | 0.51 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 0.49 |
week3_MGO | 0.26 | 1.02 | 79.03 | 0.11 | 0.21 | 8.89 | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.64 | 0.59 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | -0.26 | 2.47 | 179.01 | -0.23 | -0.22 | 13.38 | 0.35 | 0.47 | 0.29 | 0.37 |
week4_MGO | 0.24 | 1.86 | 131.63 | 0.10 | 0.22 | 11.47 | 0.63 | 0.52 | 0.59 | 0.58 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | 0.03 | 1.41 | 41.64 | -0.05 | 0.26 | 6.45 | 0.53 | 0.48 | 0.55 | 0.52 |
month1_MGO | 0.50 | 0.75 | 23.25 | 0.42 | 0.65 | 4.82 | 0.75 | 0.58 | 0.75 | 0.70 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | 0.06 | 1.65 | 57.71 | -0.05 | 0.05 | 7.60 | 0.49 | 0.47 | 0.49 | 0.48 |
month2_MGO | 0.25 | 1.31 | 40.07 | 0.27 | 0.43 | 6.33 | 0.64 | 0.50 | 0.59 | 0.58 |
month2_H&M |
MSLP
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.59 | 0.40 | 13.97 | 0.63 | 0.80 | 3.74 | 0.76 | 0.67 | 0.82 | 0.75 |
week1_MGO | 0.52 | 0.49 | 10.67 | 0.72 | 0.85 | 3.27 | 0.85 | 0.68 | 0.83 | 0.78 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.09 | 1.65 | 69.26 | -1.37 | -0.03 | 8.32 | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.60 | 0.57 |
week2_MGO | 0.14 | 0.95 | 27.30 | 0.07 | 0.39 | 5.23 | 0.63 | 0.50 | 0.61 | 0.58 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | -0.03 | 1.64 | 71.80 | -0.39 | -0.04 | 8.47 | 0.46 | 0.45 | 0.47 | 0.46 |
week3_MGO | -0.06 | 1.27 | 57.66 | -0.11 | -0.06 | 7.59 | 0.44 | 0.49 | 0.48 | 0.47 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | -0.19 | 2.81 | 108.36 | -0.08 | 0.03 | 10.41 | 0.40 | 0.49 | 0.34 | 0.41 |
week4_MGO | 0.21 | 2.05 | 97.87 | 0.03 | 0.18 | 9.89 | 0.56 | 0.54 | 0.57 | 0.56 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | 0.00 | 1.45 | 24.54 | -0.38 | 0.08 | 4.95 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 0.52 | 0.49 |
month1_MGO | 0.18 | 1.01 | 16.61 | 0.07 | 0.29 | 4.08 | 0.58 | 0.47 | 0.60 | 0.55 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | -0.02 | 2.71 | 42.51 | -0.04 | 0.16 | 6.52 | 0.50 | 0.49 | 0.54 | 0.51 |
month2_MGO | 0.15 | 2.11 | 35.22 | 0.14 | 0.34 | 5.93 | 0.57 | 0.50 | 0.52 | 0.53 |
month2_H&M |
PREC
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.36 | 1.56 | 5.34 | 0.11 | 0.45 | 2.31 | 0.64 | 0.57 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
week1_MGO | 0.43 | 1.38 | 4.96 | 0.17 | 0.50 | 2.23 | 0.72 | 0.56 | 0.71 | 0.66 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.17 | 3.74 | 8.72 | -0.19 | 0.18 | 2.95 | 0.51 | 0.54 | 0.55 | 0.54 |
week2_MGO | 0.15 | 2.09 | 7.98 | -0.09 | 0.10 | 2.82 | 0.57 | 0.51 | 0.58 | 0.55 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | 0.13 | 1.78 | 7.79 | -0.07 | 0.12 | 2.79 | 0.51 | 0.49 | 0.54 | 0.51 |
week3_MGO | -0.05 | 1.73 | 7.98 | -0.09 | 0.01 | 2.83 | 0.49 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | 0.01 | 3.39 | 12.76 | -0.14 | -0.13 | 3.57 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 0.51 | 0.49 |
week4_MGO | 0.08 | 3.20 | 11.01 | 0.02 | 0.16 | 3.32 | 0.54 | 0.54 | 0.56 | 0.55 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | 0.16 | 1.58 | 2.49 | -0.18 | 0.13 | 1.58 | 0.61 | 0.49 | 0.58 | 0.56 |
month1_MGO | 0.12 | 1.35 | 2.12 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1.46 | 0.61 | 0.53 | 0.58 | 0.57 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | 0.08 | 1.72 | 2.60 | -0.10 | 0.06 | 1.61 | 0.54 | 0.51 | 0.54 | 0.53 |
month2_MGO | 0.04 | 1.64 | 2.56 | -0.08 | 0.04 | 1.60 | 0.54 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.52 |
month2_H&M |