Verification parameters of HMC/MGO forecasts for TROPIC (0 - 357.5, -20 - -20) issued on 20221110
TRSF
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.38 | 0.84 | 0.64 | 0.20 | 0.49 | 0.80 | 0.72 | 0.59 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
week1_MGO | 0.45 | 0.85 | 0.59 | 0.26 | 0.56 | 0.77 | 0.75 | 0.54 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.25 | 1.29 | 0.78 | 0.06 | 0.42 | 0.88 | 0.71 | 0.54 | 0.61 | 0.62 |
week2_MGO | 0.41 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.19 | 0.53 | 0.82 | 0.78 | 0.56 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | 0.26 | 1.19 | 1.11 | -0.01 | 0.30 | 1.05 | 0.75 | 0.55 | 0.66 | 0.66 |
week3_MGO | 0.36 | 1.10 | 0.84 | 0.24 | 0.50 | 0.92 | 0.75 | 0.57 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | 0.21 | 1.16 | 0.96 | 0.09 | 0.45 | 0.98 | 0.73 | 0.53 | 0.67 | 0.65 |
week4_MGO | 0.34 | 1.08 | 1.08 | -0.02 | 0.31 | 1.04 | 0.72 | 0.59 | 0.68 | 0.66 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | 0.32 | 1.07 | 0.51 | 0.19 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.78 | 0.61 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
month1_MGO | 0.45 | 0.94 | 0.49 | 0.22 | 0.53 | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.61 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | 0.18 | 1.08 | 0.59 | 0.05 | 0.48 | 0.77 | 0.76 | 0.57 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
month2_MGO | 0.41 | 0.95 | 0.55 | 0.13 | 0.46 | 0.74 | 0.77 | 0.55 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
month2_H&M |
T850
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.16 | 1.46 | 0.93 | 0.05 | 0.50 | 0.97 | 0.63 | 0.50 | 0.59 | 0.57 |
week1_MGO | 0.17 | 1.44 | 0.99 | 0.00 | 0.43 | 0.99 | 0.61 | 0.49 | 0.64 | 0.58 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.00 | 1.75 | 1.45 | -0.36 | 0.08 | 1.20 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.53 | 0.51 |
week2_MGO | 0.26 | 1.30 | 1.06 | 0.01 | 0.43 | 1.03 | 0.62 | 0.52 | 0.68 | 0.61 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | 0.05 | 1.66 | 1.72 | -0.18 | 0.05 | 1.31 | 0.57 | 0.44 | 0.52 | 0.51 |
week3_MGO | 0.26 | 1.70 | 1.40 | 0.04 | 0.31 | 1.18 | 0.64 | 0.53 | 0.61 | 0.59 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | -0.06 | 1.97 | 1.37 | -0.32 | -0.01 | 1.17 | 0.52 | 0.51 | 0.48 | 0.50 |
week4_MGO | 0.16 | 1.53 | 1.36 | -0.31 | 0.10 | 1.17 | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.56 | 0.56 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | -0.06 | 1.81 | 0.72 | -0.20 | 0.18 | 0.85 | 0.55 | 0.43 | 0.50 | 0.49 |
month1_MGO | 0.26 | 1.67 | 0.64 | -0.06 | 0.36 | 0.80 | 0.65 | 0.55 | 0.67 | 0.62 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | -0.18 | 2.13 | 0.84 | -0.44 | -0.07 | 0.92 | 0.50 | 0.46 | 0.42 | 0.46 |
month2_MGO | 0.15 | 1.74 | 0.74 | -0.26 | 0.16 | 0.86 | 0.62 | 0.46 | 0.53 | 0.54 |
month2_H&M |
H500
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.37 | 1.25 | 1.06 | 0.24 | 0.54 | 1.03 | 0.79 | 0.48 | 0.57 | 0.61 |
week1_MGO | 0.66 | 0.62 | 0.60 | 0.57 | 0.65 | 0.78 | 0.88 | 0.62 | 0.73 | 0.74 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.54 | 0.70 | 0.86 | 0.38 | 0.43 | 0.93 | 0.56 | 0.65 | 0.73 | 0.64 |
week2_MGO | 0.42 | 0.88 | 1.02 | 0.26 | 0.40 | 1.01 | 0.62 | 0.59 | 0.69 | 0.63 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | -0.26 | 1.50 | 1.96 | -0.51 | 0.05 | 1.40 | 0.51 | 0.44 | 0.52 | 0.49 |
week3_MGO | -0.12 | 1.42 | 1.64 | -0.27 | 0.37 | 1.28 | 0.65 | 0.44 | 0.54 | 0.54 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | -0.46 | 3.17 | 4.04 | -1.41 | -0.19 | 2.01 | 0.47 | 0.50 | 0.48 | 0.48 |
week4_MGO | -0.45 | 2.48 | 3.16 | -0.88 | 0.14 | 1.78 | 0.58 | 0.46 | 0.50 | 0.52 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | 0.04 | 1.25 | 0.78 | -0.81 | 0.03 | 0.88 | 0.52 | 0.50 | 0.53 | 0.52 |
month1_MGO | 0.13 | 1.02 | 0.55 | -0.29 | 0.43 | 0.74 | 0.60 | 0.54 | 0.69 | 0.61 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | -0.55 | 2.20 | 1.80 | -1.24 | -0.10 | 1.34 | 0.50 | 0.48 | 0.56 | 0.51 |
month2_MGO | -0.36 | 1.81 | 1.41 | -0.76 | 0.35 | 1.19 | 0.62 | 0.39 | 0.66 | 0.55 |
month2_H&M |
MSLP
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.36 | 0.50 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 0.51 | 0.93 | 0.53 | 0.54 | 0.68 | 0.58 |
week1_MGO | 0.64 | 0.38 | 0.65 | 0.26 | 0.72 | 0.81 | 0.89 | 0.62 | 0.78 | 0.76 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.19 | 1.65 | 1.78 | -0.39 | 0.53 | 1.34 | 0.54 | 0.53 | 0.62 | 0.56 |
week2_MGO | 0.23 | 0.95 | 1.36 | -0.06 | 0.38 | 1.17 | 0.69 | 0.41 | 0.57 | 0.56 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | -0.26 | 2.46 | 3.40 | -0.74 | 0.10 | 1.84 | 0.47 | 0.61 | 0.74 | 0.61 |
week3_MGO | -0.10 | 2.30 | 3.31 | -0.69 | 0.18 | 1.82 | 0.64 | 0.62 | 0.81 | 0.69 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | -0.19 | 3.34 | 4.64 | -1.27 | 0.24 | 2.15 | 0.58 | 0.45 | 0.63 | 0.55 |
week4_MGO | -0.16 | 2.37 | 3.59 | -0.75 | 0.49 | 1.89 | 0.74 | 0.32 | 0.67 | 0.58 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | -0.16 | 2.55 | 1.74 | -1.25 | 0.51 | 1.32 | 0.54 | 0.49 | 0.64 | 0.56 |
month1_MGO | 0.13 | 1.78 | 1.16 | -0.50 | 0.53 | 1.08 | 0.71 | 0.55 | 0.72 | 0.66 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | -0.37 | 4.55 | 3.35 | -1.04 | 0.49 | 1.83 | 0.59 | 0.44 | 0.71 | 0.58 |
month2_MGO | -0.02 | 3.01 | 2.37 | -0.44 | 0.50 | 1.54 | 0.75 | 0.36 | 0.89 | 0.67 |
month2_H&M |
PREC
|
RO | Q | MSE | MSSS | AC | RMS | ROC_BN | ROC_NO | ROC_AN | ROC_AG |
week1_HMC | 0.25 | 1.56 | 30.81 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 5.55 | 0.57 | 0.51 | 0.57 | 0.55 |
week1_MGO | 0.26 | 3.07 | 35.16 | -0.14 | 0.27 | 5.93 | 0.63 | 0.55 | 0.61 | 0.60 |
week1_H&M |
week2_HMC | 0.21 | 2.51 | 34.82 | -0.04 | 0.10 | 5.90 | 0.50 | 0.48 | 0.54 | 0.51 |
week2_MGO | 0.19 | 3.82 | 32.82 | 0.02 | 0.26 | 5.73 | 0.61 | 0.53 | 0.60 | 0.58 |
week2_H&M |
week3_HMC | 0.13 | 1.95 | 31.57 | -0.06 | 0.08 | 5.62 | 0.54 | 0.48 | 0.55 | 0.53 |
week3_MGO | 0.22 | 1.80 | 27.68 | 0.07 | 0.35 | 5.26 | 0.62 | 0.51 | 0.65 | 0.59 |
week3_H&M |
week4_HMC | 0.23 | 1.16 | 27.40 | -0.08 | 0.11 | 5.23 | 0.52 | 0.43 | 0.58 | 0.51 |
week4_MGO | 0.22 | 1.36 | 27.73 | -0.09 | 0.19 | 5.27 | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.62 | 0.58 |
week4_H&M |
month1_HMC | 0.20 | 1.49 | 12.73 | -0.03 | 0.15 | 3.57 | 0.57 | 0.50 | 0.62 | 0.56 |
month1_MGO | 0.24 | 1.80 | 11.97 | 0.04 | 0.37 | 3.46 | 0.64 | 0.54 | 0.63 | 0.60 |
month1_H&M |
month2_HMC | 0.20 | 1.33 | 13.30 | -0.05 | 0.14 | 3.65 | 0.56 | 0.46 | 0.61 | 0.55 |
month2_MGO | 0.17 | 1.46 | 12.70 | -0.01 | 0.36 | 3.56 | 0.62 | 0.54 | 0.63 | 0.60 |
month2_H&M |