Verification parameters of HMC/MGO forecasts for ARCTIC (0 - 357.5, 70 - 90) issued on 20221110

TRSF

	RO	Q	MSE	MSSS	AC	RMS	ROC_BN	ROC_NO	ROC_AN	ROC_AG
week1_HMC	0.43	0.93	22.98	0.32	0.49	4.79	0.59	0.72	0.75	0.69
week1_MGO	0.53	0.71	17.79	0.47	0.61	4.22	0.78	0.69	0.83	0.77
week1_H&M
week2_HMC	0.16	1.52	39.65	-0.18	0.09	6.30	0.62	0.47	0.60	0.56
week2_MGO	0.24	1.09	26.01	0.23	0.43	5.10	0.68	0.50	0.77	0.65
week2_H&M
week3_HMC	-0.08	1.48	45.81	-0.40	-0.15	6.77	0.47	0.55	0.47	0.50
week3_MGO	0.22	0.99	25.16	0.23	0.33	5.02	0.45	0.49	0.58	0.51
week3_H&M
week4_HMC	-0.27	2.85	74.91	-0.26	-0.08	8.66	0.32	0.54	0.37	0.41
week4_MGO	0.82	1.38	33.42	0.44	0.42	5.78	0.93	0.49	0.70	0.71
week4_H&M
month1_HMC	0.02	2.07	26.46	-0.12	0.04	5.14	0.60	0.47	0.55	0.54
month1_MGO	0.69	1.03	11.89	0.50	0.46	3.45	0.70	0.61	0.70	0.67
month1_H&M
month2_HMC	-0.20	2.26	29.83	-0.41	-0.40	5.46	0.32	0.43	0.33	0.36
month2_MGO	0.89	0.79	9.38	0.56	0.35	3.06	0.16	0.57	0.59	0.44
month2_H&M

T850

	RO	Q	MSE	MSSS	AC	RMS	ROC_BN	ROC_NO	ROC_AN	ROC_AG
week1_HMC	0.70	0.41	6.22	0.68	0.80	2.49	0.73	0.52	0.81	0.69
week1_MGO	0.80	0.26	4.61	0.76	0.89	2.15	0.94	0.73	0.92	0.86
week1_H&M
week2_HMC	0.18	2.22	40.62	-0.72	0.01	6.37	0.64	0.42	0.60	0.55
week2_MGO	0.46	0.82	14.09	0.40	0.65	3.75	0.76	0.67	0.82	0.75
week2_H&M
week3_HMC	-0.18	1.93	32.67	-0.17	-0.01	5.72	0.51	0.47	0.44	0.47
week3_MGO	0.17	1.47	24.57	0.12	0.39	4.96	0.43	0.47	0.49	0.46
week3_H&M
week4_HMC	-0.46	2.11	37.34	-0.45	-0.32	6.11	0.24	0.53	0.30	0.36
week4_MGO	0.46	1.03	18.88	0.27	0.16	4.35	0.72	0.49	0.60	0.60
week4_H&M
month1_HMC	0.30	1.76	10.92	0.17	0.32	3.30	0.59	0.50	0.67	0.59
month1_MGO	0.41	0.94	6.01	0.54	0.74	2.45	0.71	0.54	0.75	0.67
month1_H&M
month2_HMC	0.09	1.03	8.21	0.09	0.08	2.86	0.41	0.43	0.46	0.43
month2_MGO	0.59	0.82	6.82	0.25	0.05	2.61	0.60	0.38	0.55	0.51
month2_H&M

H500

	RO	Q	MSE	MSSS	AC	RMS	ROC_BN	ROC_NO	ROC_AN	ROC_AG
week1_HMC	0.60	0.41	43.94	0.66	0.81	6.63	0.85	0.57	0.75	0.73
week1_MGO	0.80	0.31	31.51	0.75	0.93	5.61	0.98	0.86	0.96	0.93
week1_H&M
week2_HMC	-0.04	2.40	277.76	-1.01	0.01	16.67	0.44	0.41	0.50	0.45
week2_MGO	0.57	0.58	73.49	0.47	0.80	8.57	0.73	0.55	0.82	0.70
week2_H&M
week3_HMC	0.20	1.73	214.34	-0.14	-0.10	14.64	0.68	0.41	0.50	0.53
week3_MGO	0.31	1.34	157.98	0.16	0.41	12.57	0.45	0.50	0.60	0.52
week3_H&M
week4_HMC	-0.06	3.25	404.55	-0.09	-0.13	20.11	0.32	0.51	0.44	0.42
week4_MGO	0.61	2.58	279.92	0.24	0.65	16.73	0.71	0.43	0.77	0.64
week4_H&M
month1_HMC	0.16	2.80	136.73	0.04	0.18	11.69	0.58	0.47	0.57	0.54
month1_MGO	0.64	1.75	83.31	0.42	0.88	9.13	0.84	0.66	0.85	0.78
month1_H&M
month2_HMC	0.49	1.77	106.98	0.21	-0.29	10.34	0.63	0.32	0.26	0.40
month2_MGO	0.89	1.16	68.68	0.49	0.56	8.29	0.86	0.44	0.74	0.68
month2_H&M

MSLP

	RO	Q	MSE	MSSS	AC	RMS	ROC_BN	ROC_NO	ROC_AN	ROC_AG
week1_HMC	0.51	0.54	28.22	0.03	0.61	5.31	0.74	0.52	0.55	0.60
week1_MGO	0.46	0.31	16.90	0.42	0.64	4.11	0.81	0.64	0.63	0.69
week1_H&M
week2_HMC	-0.39	1.73	135.19	-2.76	-0.40	11.63	0.27	0.53	0.34	0.38
week2_MGO	0.19	0.43	37.10	-0.03	0.33	6.09	0.64	0.40	0.67	0.57
week2_H&M
week3_HMC	0.15	0.90	77.28	-0.03	-0.18	8.79	0.60	0.25	0.27	0.37
week3_MGO	-0.11	0.89	74.99	0.00	0.45	8.66	0.43	0.56	0.64	0.54
week3_H&M
week4_HMC	0.25	2.92	209.60	0.13	0.27	14.48	0.54	0.59	0.67	0.60
week4_MGO	-0.07	3.82	245.20	-0.02	0.11	15.66	0.31	0.56	0.34	0.40
week4_H&M
month1_HMC	-0.19	1.84	55.81	-0.15	0.04	7.47	0.41	0.21	0.47	0.36
month1_MGO	-0.10	1.83	50.89	-0.05	0.43	7.13	0.46	0.37	0.40	0.41
month1_H&M
month2_HMC	0.54	2.21	81.95	0.25	-0.07	9.05	0.51	0.39	0.30	0.40
month2_MGO	0.67	2.21	76.71	0.30	0.10	8.76	0.55	0.51	0.38	0.48
month2_H&M

PREC

	RO	Q	MSE	MSSS	AC	RMS	ROC_BN	ROC_NO	ROC_AN	ROC_AG
week1_HMC	0.28	2.53	1.25	-0.21	0.38	1.12	0.59	0.52	0.69	0.60
week1_MGO	0.27	1.69	0.80	0.22	0.47	0.90	0.67	0.48	0.66	0.60
week1_H&M
week2_HMC	0.24	3.29	1.16	-0.04	0.12	1.07	0.47	0.50	0.53	0.50
week2_MGO	-0.01	2.51	0.82	0.25	0.59	0.91	0.65	0.54	0.74	0.64
week2_H&M
week3_HMC	-0.06	1.52	1.06	-0.48	-0.36	1.03	0.30	0.60	0.37	0.42
week3_MGO	0.00	1.14	0.66	0.09	0.29	0.81	0.55	0.49	0.50	0.51
week3_H&M
week4_HMC	0.09	10.24	1.73	0.04	0.18	1.32	0.58	0.56	0.57	0.57
week4_MGO	0.23	9.63	1.61	0.11	0.25	1.27	0.60	0.43	0.57	0.53
week4_H&M
month1_HMC	0.03	2.99	0.47	-0.12	0.00	0.69	0.51	0.51	0.52	0.51
month1_MGO	0.22	2.19	0.34	0.20	0.44	0.58	0.65	0.53	0.59	0.59
month1_H&M
month2_HMC	0.03	2.75	0.27	-0.05	0.10	0.52	0.42	0.54	0.51	0.49
month2_MGO	0.08	2.36	0.25	0.04	0.11	0.50	0.48	0.51	0.50	0.50
month2_H&M